Economic Cooperation Can’t Lead to Denuclearization
Summary: A long-awaited second Trump-Kim summit will be held in Hanoi soon. Despite the high expectations, experts are worrying about the possibility that the summit will end in a ‘small deal’ which focuses on removing immediate threats to the United States, including ICBMs, rather than on completely denuclearizing North Korea. The bottom-line for a successful Hanoi summit is that it should be a real starting point for a denuclearization process. Only a vague pledge of ‘complete denuclearization’ will be scored as a failure. Meanwhile, South Korean president Moon Jae-in has pledged to engage in massive economic cooperation with the North. Moon’s plan intends to facilitate North Korea’s denuclearization process by promoting inter-Korean joint economic development projects. This initiative is, however, like putting the cart before the horse. Economic cooperation can’t lead to denuclearization. It will only end in allowing North Korea to have both nuclear weapons and economic prosperity. South Korea should make it clear that it will expand inter-Korean economic cooperation if, and only if, North Korea proceed irreversibly in the denuclearizing process.
How to Score the U.S.-DPRK Hanoi Summit
Summary: U.S. President Donald Trump and Chairman Kim Jong-un will soon meet for the 2nd U.S.-DPRK summit in Hanoi. How should we score the outcome of this historic meeting? The bottom-line […]
Understanding North Korea’s Internal Strategy
In light of the recent, positive developments on the Korean Peninsula (chief among them the apparent 180-degree turnaround by Chairman Kim Jong Un on the issue of denuclearization) it is […]
The Washington-Seoul Alliance in the Time of North Korea’s Denuclearization
Following a dangerous escalation of tensions last year, few could have envisaged the rapid turnaround in events witnessed so far amidst a flurry of high-level summit diplomacy. Although the complete denuclearization […]
What Does Denuclearisation Really Mean?
In full view of the international media, the destruction of North Korea’s nuclear testing ground at Punggye-ri went ahead on 24 May. Yet hours later, US President Donald Trump announced […]
If Not North Korea, Who Will Be Japan’s Chief Antagonist?
The last year has seen sharp turns in the relationships between North Korea and its neighbors. After tough rhetoric back and forth between the United States and North Korea, we […]
The Philippines’ Reaction to Pompeo’s Interpretation of the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty
At the joint press conference with Philippine Foreign Secretary Teodoro Locsin on 1 March 2019, the US Secretary of State Michael Pompeo, after attacking China by stating that “China’s island-building […]