기고] 미·중의 셈법, 한국은 없다
북한의 4차 핵실험과 장거리 미사일(로켓) 발사에 따른 유엔 안보리 대북 제재 결의안 초안이 마침내 모습을 드러냈다. 다소 늦은 감은 있지만 한국의 한반도 사드(고고도미사일방어체계) 배치 카드와 개성공단 가동 전면중단 결정이 중국을 설득하는 데 주효했다는 분석이다. 이렇게 되면 아마도 이를 계기로 한국 정부의 북한 붕괴론에 거는 기대는 점점 더 커질 것 같다.
North Korea’s Nuclear Ambitions Have Turned Into a Status-Quo Show
With Kim Jong-un’s reported reappearance after speculation about his health, a top-down diplomacy, driven by President Donald Trump and Kim, still remains the main channel for future nuclear talks. Despite […]
Taking Back Control: South Korea and the Politics of OPCON Transfer
Summary 1. The Moon government aims to achieve OPCON transfer (wartime control of its armed forces) by 2022, in accordance with a transition plan agreed upon with the United States. […]
Sustaining Dialogue on the Korean Peninsula
Caroline Kearney gives her views on the diplomatic process on the Korean Peninsula and how to sustain the momentum of peacebuilding. Tracing the origins and developments of the peace process, […]
If Not North Korea, Who Will Be Japan’s Chief Antagonist?
The last year has seen sharp turns in the relationships between North Korea and its neighbors. After tough rhetoric back and forth between the United States and North Korea, we […]
Japan and North Korea: Toward Engagement for Regional Security
The current situation on the Korean Peninsula has invited debate on Japan’s perennial issue of constitutional revision. While this is a high-profile issue, other measures are needed to reduce tensions. […]
Bad Solutions in a Complex Situation: China’s Relations with North Korea
China’s relations with North Korea are complex with a variety of bad choices and suboptimal solutions. It could be argued that the actor that has lost most in the recent tensions […]